Your VO2max estimate from a hard run comes straight from Daniels' VDOT tables, the pace-to-fitness model coaches have trusted for over forty years.
Daniels, J. Daniels' Running Formula, 4th edition. Champaign, IL: Human Kinetics, 2021. ISBN 9781718203662, 320 pp. Carries forward the VDOT tables and the velocity-to-oxygen-cost regressions first published in Daniels, J. & Gilbert, J. Oxygen Power: Performance Tables for Distance Runners, Tempe, AZ, 1979.
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